Wiki source code of 4.4.10 Foresighting (trends, weak signals and wild cards)
Version 1.1 by Evdokimos Konstantinidis on 2021/10/21 14:36
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| 1 | **Description**: Foresighting is a practice of exploring expected and alternative futures. Trend is a general tendency or direction evident from past events increasing or decreasing in strength of frequency of observation. A weak signal is an indicator of a potentially emerging issue that may become significant in the future. “Wild card” is high-impact event that seem too incredible or is considered too unlikely to happen; yet many do happen. | ||
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| 3 | **R&D service categories: **Market and competitor intelligence services, Co-creation | ||
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| 5 | **Objectives:** | ||
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| 7 | * policy consulting, | ||
| 8 | * create a future vision, | ||
| 9 | * identify new opportunities and risks, | ||
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| 11 | **Methods:** back casting, brainstorming, user/citizen panels, workshop/session, expert panel, interview, literature review, role playing, scenarios, survey, SWOT, wild card & weak signals, Science fiction/crazy ideas |